Abstract

The Southeast Asian region is one of the most vulnerable to climate change given its geographical location and economic situation. This study aims to conduct a combination of spatial and temporal analyses in order to understand differences between member nations in terms of driving factors to changing emissions. The logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) method was used in order to estimate carbon dioxide emissions due to population, economic activity, economic structure, and energy intensity effects from the year 1990 to 2018. In conducting the study, spatial analysis showed that Singapore was the only country to effectively lessen carbon emissions, due to population and energy intensity, in comparison to the others. Additionally, temporal analysis showed that the ASEAN initially developed at the same rate, before countries such as Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand, started becoming more economically active, as shown by their economic activity. Finally, results have shown that some countries, especially the Philippines and Indonesia, have undergone significant changes in economic structure, which significantly affected carbon emissions. The results also highlight the increasing per capita emissions as income levels rise. The paper concludes by presenting a summary of the findings and some policy recommendations.

Highlights

  • The world has been experiencing a rapid increase in temperature per year.the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released a Global Climate Report in the year 2020, stating that the combined temperature of both land and sea increased at an average of about 0.08 degrees Celsius (0.13 ◦ F) per decade until1880 [1]

  • Based on the results found it can be seen that a majority of the DA5 countries such as Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam, the Philippines, and Thailand, have significantly decreased carbon emissions due to a few indices

  • A spatiotemporal analysis was used based on the logarithmic mean Divisia index method in order to determine drivers to carbon emissions in the ASEAN region

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Summary

Introduction

The world has been experiencing a rapid increase in temperature per year.the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released a Global Climate Report in the year 2020, stating that the combined temperature of both land and sea increased at an average of about 0.08 degrees Celsius (0.13 ◦ F) per decade until1880 [1]. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released a Global Climate Report in the year 2020, stating that the combined temperature of both land and sea increased at an average of about 0.08 degrees Celsius (0.13 ◦ F) per decade until. Starting 1881, the combined average temperature has been increasing by about 0.18 degrees Celsius (0.32 ◦ F). This increase in temperature corresponds to climate change, which is a growing concern in more recent years. Report, published in 2007, the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has related the increase in temperature to the rapid melting of polar ice caps and increase in the frequency of natural disasters [2].

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