Spatio-Temporal vehicle traffic flow prediction using multivariate CNN and LSTM model

Abstract

Traffic congestion is a major problem in developing and developed countries vehicle traffic management systems. Traffic control system works based on the idea of removing instabilities and avoid accidents in order to minimize the traffic and maximize the vehicle flow. To control the congestion need to predict the upcoming traffic flow and it will be useful for Advanced Traffic Information Systems (ATIS), Advanced Traffic Management Systems (ATMS) and traffic analytics. Non–linear historical data and uncertain factors influence the vehicle congestion at peak hours which cannot be considered in existing algorithms. This study proposes hybrid neural network algorithms such as Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) network for short term traffic flow prediction based on multivariate analysis. Widely referred datasets Performance Measurement Systems (PEMS) and Mesowest have been used to evaluate this model. Experiment results shows that CNN-LSTM Hybrid prediction model achieves high accuracy compared with other models.