Abstract
The increase in the built-up area in the Jakarta and its surrounding area influences the surrounding area so that there is the propagation of the built-up area and an increase in ground surface temperature. This study aims to analyze the pattern of land cover and land surface temperature in 2004, 2012, and 2020, identify the relationship between NDBI, NDVI, and land surface temperature, and predict land cover and land surface temperature in 2028 in Bekasi Regency. The method used is statistical analysis and prediction analysis with MLP-MC. The results are that the ground surface temperature increase occurred in Bekasi Regency from 2004 – 2020. The increase occurred in the types of built-up land cover such as settlements, industry, and roads. The biggest land cover change occurred in rice fields into settlements. From the statistical results, the mean land surface temperature, settlement land cover, industry, and roads also experienced an increase in temperature. NDBI can be positively correlated with land surface temperature, while NDVI is negatively correlated. In 2028, there will be an increase in the settlement area, which also results in a decrease in the areas of rice fields. This also has an impact on increasing the temperature of the land surface in the area that is experiencing changes.
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