SOFTWARE TESTING DEFECT PREDICTION MODEL - A PRACTICAL APPROACH

Abstract

Software defects prediction aims to reduce software testing efforts by guiding the testers through the defect classification of software systems. Defect predictors are widely used in many organizations to predict software defects in order to save time, improve quality, testing and for better planning of the resources to meet the timelines. The application of statistical software testing defect prediction model in a real life setting is extremely difficult because it requires more number of data variables and metrics and also historical defect data to predict the next releases or new similar type of projects. This paper explains our statistical model, how it will accurately predict the defects for upcoming software releases or projects. We have used 20 past release data points of software project, 5 parameters and build a model by applying descriptive statistics, correlation and multiple linear regression models with 95% confidence intervals (CI). In this appropriate multiple linear regression model the R-square value was 0.91 and its Standard Error is 5.90%. The Software testing defect prediction model is now being used to predict defects at various testing projects and operational releases. We have found 90.76% precision between actual and predicted defects.