Abstract
AbstractRecent studies show that, in some seismogenetic areas, strong earthquakes occur rather predictably. Their pattern of occurrence, however, cannot be interpreted according to a classic model of seismic risk analysis.It is shown that semi‐Markov models are capable of interpreting predictable behaviour and, in particular, the types suggested by the Slip Predictable Model, the Time Predictable Model and the Characteristic Earthquake Model. A number of general properties are demonstrated, dealing with return periods, waiting times, damage cost, stationary and variable characteristics of seismic risk analysis.The case of Friuli is then examined and its semi‐Markovian interpretation is discussed. This interpretation is compared with others which also are possible, and the consequences for the computation of hazard and risk terms are evaluated.
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
