Scenarios for the development of regional production and economic systems based on industrial parks

Abstract

The article presents the results of research on the formation of strategic alternatives for the development of regional production and economic systems in industrial parks within the framework of the internal rating management mechanism. A generalized scheme of cognitive modeling is proposed, which is based on the synthesis of methods of cognitive analysis, principal components, expert analysis, econometric modeling, which makes it possible to increase the validity of the concepts of the cognitive model and scenarios for the development of regional production and economic systems in the system of industrial parks. The presented cognitive model makes it possible to develop scenarios for the implementation of strategic alternatives for the development of regional production and economic systems, evaluate their effectiveness, and choose the most appropriate development strategy for the current situation, ensuring their sustainable functioning in the system of industrial parks. Basic and alternative scenarios have been developed using the example of a regional production and economic system representative of a cluster of companies with crisis development, making it possible to identify the components of the development strategy that require adaptation to ensure the transition of the regional production and economic system representative to a higher cluster. Research data can be used by interested stakeholders: industrial parks, regional production and economic systems, regional authorities.