Scarcity and instability: Transforming societies through equitable distribution mechanisms

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Under the framework of SDG 16, namely Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions, one key underexplored area of inclusion relates to the means of ensuring access to justice through the equitable governance of scarce resources, and mechanisms to promote equal and structural access to opportunities across society. This research sets out to answer the following questions across three case studies: (1) What is the relationship between critical or scarce resources and political conflict in the region under study?; (2) On what basis is the scarce or critical resource currently distributed within the region under study?; (3) What formal or informal governance mechanisms are in place to manage access to critical or scarce resources, and resolve conflicts created by it?; and (4) What improvements could be made to ensure more inclusive and equitable access to the distribution of this resource? The three proposed case studies, namely, Central Mali (land), Northeastern Kenya (water), and northern Mozambique (extraction and revenues of natural gas), have unique political and geographic features that are indivisible from peace and security. In each case, a blend of formal and informal mechanisms is used, but these often involve competing mandates, are guided by socioeconomic dynamics or are unenforced, potentially leading to different types of localised conflict. This paper argues that, in order to prevent conflict around the governance of natural resources, communities need to be involved in a blend of informal and formal governance mechanisms from the outset. While the exact nature of these governance mechanisms may differ according to the nature of the natural resource and its extraction, there is a need to move from top-down towards people-centred approaches. Moreover, there should be efforts to develop specific SDG 16 targets related to environmental governance.