Abstract
Climate change caused by global warming has resulted in an increase in average temperature and changes in precipitation pattern and intensity. Consequently, this has led to an increase in localized heavy rain which intensifies the uncertainty of the development of urban areas. To minimize flood damage in an urban area, this study aims to analyze the flood risk effect on buildings by ranking the risk of flood damage for each building type and sorting the long-term land use plan and the building type that requires particular consideration. To evaluate the flood risk of each building type, vulnerability analysis and exposure analysis were conducted in five regions of the Ulsan City. The vulnerability analysis includes determination of each building type by using the building elements which are sensitive to flood damage. In terms of the exposure analysis, environmental factors were applied to analyze the flood depth. The mapping based on the results from two analyses provided the basis for classifying the flood risk into five classes (green, yellowish green, yellow, orange, red). The results were provided in the urban spatial form for each building type. This analysis shows that the district near the Taehwa river is the area with the highest risk class buildings (red and orange class buildings). Notably, this area plays a pivotal functional role in administrating the Ulsan City and has a high density of buildings. This phenomenon is explained by city development which is centered around the lowland; however, given the high value of property, the potential risk is proven to be high.
Highlights
Floods are the most common and widely distributed natural risk to life and property worldwide, and the United Nations (UN) estimates that one billion people live in areas of potential flood risk [1,2]
In the context of global climate change caused by ever-increasing anthropic activities, the intensity and frequency of these events has increased in the past years and is continuing to intensify [7,8]
The frequency and the intensity of the damage caused by natural disasters are gradually increasing because of climate change and global warming
Summary
Floods are the most common and widely distributed natural risk to life and property worldwide, and the United Nations (UN) estimates that one billion people live in areas of potential flood risk [1,2]. Flooding is considered one of the most serious and widespread natural hazards due to its devastating effects that endanger lives and cause property damage in the affected areas [4,5,6]. An increased built area results in a decrease in infiltration, baseflow, and lag times, and an increase in runoff volumes, peak discharge, and frequency of floods [10,11]. Human activities such as urbanization and the growth of settlements and assets in flooding areas likewise contribute to the increasing impacts of floods [12]. The risks due to such hazards in urban areas can significantly hinder daily activities, incur costly damages, and contribute to large scale life losses, which is the reason why, when such risks are realized, they are often referred to as disasters [13]
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