Abstract

The grid connection of new energy will bring some risks to the safe operation of power system. In this paper, the wind-output power model is established according to the wind-output characteristics, and the generator set, line and load probability models are established considering the uncertainty of other components of the system. From the perspective of power grid operation and new energy consumption, the traditional operation risk indexes such as voltage overrun and voltage collapse and the new wind and light abandoning indexes are selected, and the non-sequential Monte Carlo method is used to sample the operation state of the power system after wind and wind connecting to the grid, and the index is calculated. Finally, the influence of wind grid connection on system operation risk is analyzed to provide guidance for large-scale new energy grid operation risk assessment.

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