Abstract

The progression of white matter hyperintensities (WMH) varies considerably in adults. In this study, we aimed to predict the progression and related risk factors of WMH based on the radiomics of whole-brain white matter (WBWM). A retrospective analysis was conducted on 141 patients with WMH who underwent two consecutive brain magnetic resonance (MR) imaging sessions from March 2014 to May 2018. The WBWM was segmented to extract and score the radiomics features at baseline. Follow-up images were evaluated using the modified Fazekas scale, with progression indicated by scores ≥ 1. Patients were divided into progressive (n = 65) and non-progressive (n = 76) groups. The progressive group was subdivided into any WMH (AWMH), periventricular WMH (PWMH), and deep WMH (DWMH). Independent risk factors were identified using logistic regression. The area under the curve (AUC) values for the radiomics signatures of the training sets were 0.758, 0.749, and 0.775 for AWMH, PWMH, and DWMH, respectively. The AUC values of the validation set were 0.714, 0.697, and 0.717, respectively. Age and hyperlipidemia were independent predictors of progression for AWMH. Age and body mass index (BMI) were independent predictors of progression for DWMH, while hyperlipidemia was an independent predictor of progression for PWMH. After combining clinical factors and radiomics signatures, the AUC values were 0.848, 0.863, and 0.861, respectively, for the training set, and 0.824, 0.818, and 0.833, respectively, for the validation set. MRI-based radiomics of WBWM, along with specific risk factors, may allow physicians to predict the progression of WMH. • Radiomics features detected by magnetic resonance imaging may be used to predict the progression of white matter hyperintensities. • Radiomics may be used to identify risk factors associated with the progression of white matter hyperintensities. • Radiomics may serve as non-invasive biomarkers to monitor white matter status.

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