Prediction of Soil Inorganic Carbon at Multiple Depths Using Quantile Regression Forest and Digital Soil Mapping Technique in the Thar Desert Regions of India

Abstract

ABSTRACT Soil inorganic carbon (SIC) is important carbon reservoirs in desert ecosystems. However, little attention was paid to estimate carbon stock in these regions. In the present study, the distribution of SIC stock was investigated using digital soil mapping in Bikaner district, Rajasthan, India. A total of 187 soil profiles were used for SIC estimation by Quantile regression forest model. Landsat data, terrain attributes and bioclimatic variables were used as environmental variables. Ten-fold cross-validation was used to evaluate model. Equal-area quadratic splines were fitted to soil profile datasets to estimate SIC at six standard soil depths (0–5, 5–15, 15–30, 30–60, 60–100 and 100–200 cm). The SIC in the study area ranged from 0.27 to 27.85 g kg−1 in 0–5 cm and 0.31 to 27.84 g kg−1 in 5–15 cm, respectively. The model could capture reasonable variability (R2 = 11–21%) while predicting SIC for different depths. The Lin’s concordance correlation coefficient values ranged from 0.20 to 0.32, indicating poor relationship between the predicted and observed values. The values of prediction interval coverage probability (PICP) recorded 86.4–91.1% for SIC at different depths. Annual precipitation and precipitation seasonality were the most important covariates in soil below the 30 cm depth. The predicted SIC stocks were 10.3 ± 0.01, 81.6 ± 0.07 and 186.7 ± 0.13 Mg ha−1 at 0–15, 0–100 and 0–200 cm, depth, respectively. The uncertainty analysis suggests that there is room to improve the current spatial predictions of SIC. It is anticipated that this digital mapping of SIC will be useful for assessment of carbon cycle in arid regions.