Abstract

Abstract. An R package was developed for computing permafrost indices (PIC v1.3) that integrates meteorological observations, gridded meteorological datasets, soil databases, and field measurements to compute the factors or indices of permafrost and seasonal frozen soil. At present, 16 temperature- and depth-related indices are integrated into the PIC v1.3 R package to estimate the possible trends of frozen soil in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP). These indices include the mean annual air temperature (MAAT), mean annual ground surface temperature (MAGST), mean annual ground temperature (MAGT), seasonal thawing–freezing n factor (nt∕nf), thawing–freezing degree-days for air and the ground surface (DDTa∕DDTs∕DDFa∕DDFs), temperature at the top of the permafrost (TTOP), active layer thickness (ALT), and maximum seasonal freeze depth. PIC v1.3 supports two computational modes, namely the stations and regional calculations that enable statistical analysis and intuitive visualization of the time series and spatial simulations. Datasets of 52 weather stations and a central region of the QTP were prepared and simulated to evaluate the temporal–spatial trends of permafrost with the climate. More than 10 statistical methods and a sequential Mann–Kendall trend test were adopted to evaluate these indices in stations, and spatial methods were adopted to assess the spatial trends. Multiple visual methods were used to display the temporal and spatial variability of the stations and region. Simulation results show extensive permafrost degradation in the QTP, and the temporal–spatial trends of the permafrost conditions in the QTP are close to those of previous studies. The transparency and repeatability of the PIC v1.3 package and its data can be used and extended to assess the impact of climate change on permafrost.

Highlights

  • Permafrost, which is soil, rock, or sediment with temperatures that have remained at or below 0 ◦C for at least two consecutive years, is a key component of the cryosphere

  • This study proposes permafrost modeling to compute the changes in the active layer and permafrost with the climate, and this considers station and regional modeling over the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP)

  • Permafrost modeling and data are integrated into the PIC v1.3 R package to simulate the temporal–spatial trends of permafrost with the climate estimate and estimate the status of the active layer and permafrost in the QTP

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Summary

Introduction

Permafrost, which is soil, rock, or sediment with temperatures that have remained at or below 0 ◦C for at least two consecutive years, is a key component of the cryosphere. The upper layer in permafrost regions is called the active layer, and it undergoes seasonal freezing and thawing. This layer lies permafrost, the upper surface of which is called the upper permafrost limit or the permafrost table. Over half of the QTP is underlain by permafrost (Ran et al, 2012). The temperature in the QTP has increased by more than 0.25 ◦C per decade over the past 50 years (Li et al, 2010; Ran et al, 2018; Shen et al, 2015; Yao et al, 2007).

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