Pandemic Equation and Pandemic Evolution

Abstract

cally the infection rate, the number of hospitalizations, and pandemic-related deaths all rise faster than decline after reaching a peak. To account for such asymmetrical bell curve shape of pandemic peaks, the Pandemic Equation is using an approach similar to the adiabatic Born-Oppenheimer approximation used to solve the Schrodinger Equation describing the electronic molecular or crystal band structures. The Born-Oppenheimer approximation (also referred to as the adiabatic approximation) is based on the assumption that, since the electrons are much lighter than nuclei, they move much faster and their motion adiabatically follows the nuclei motion. This approach allows considering a rapid process introducing slowly varying characteristic time constants with their variation rate being determined by a slow process. Similarly, the Pandemic Equation introduces a slowly varying time constant of the pandemic peak evolution. Reference applied the Pandemic Equation to describe the daily...