On how the ECT fuels the fossil fuel economy: Rockhopper v Italy as a case study

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TL;DR

This article argues that the Energy Charter Treaty facilitates fossil fuel industry expansion by expanding investor rights and undermining ecological democracy, exemplified by the Rockhopper v Italy case, where the tribunal awarded property rights to an oil company despite Italy's offshore drilling ban, thus constraining democratic and ecological transition efforts.

Abstract
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The central thesis of this article is that the Energy Charter Treaty can be deployed to expand the fossil fuel industry’s rights and contextually counter democratic forces that animate the ecological transition. More specifically, the article shows the entanglement between the suppression of ecological democracy and the expansion of fossil rights. To offer a more granular understanding of how the Energy Charter Treaty empowers the fossil industry, this article zooms in on the case of Rockhopper v Italy. The case was launched in 2017 by the UK company Rockhopper against the Italian Republic because the latter denied a production concession for offshore oil drilling off the coast of Italy. After a long process of resistance from local communities, in 2016, the Italian government adopted a law of general applicability banning offshore drilling within 12 nautical miles of the coast. Drawing on political theory, this article conceptualises people’s successful forms of resistance to the oil extractivist project as ecological democracy. By unpacking the main facts underpinning this case and the legal reasoning in the award, the article shows how the Rockhopper award has bestowed new property rights on the fossil fuel investor while contextually compressing democratic spaces vital for the ecological transition.

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<p>This article (published in the Austrian Yearbook On <span>International </span><span>Arbitration 2026)</span><span>  examines whether the European Union and its Member States can effectively eliminate investment protection for fossil fuel investments under the Energy Charter Treaty (ECT) either by remaining parties to the modernised ECT or by withdrawing from it. Following the adoption of the ECT modernisation package in December 2024, the  novel “flexibility mechanism” was introduced through amendments to Annex NI of the ECT, enabling contracting parties to phase out protection for fossil fuel investments within their territories. The EU makes use of this mechanism. The article shows that this technique—based on modifications of annexes rather than the treaty text—has immediate and legally binding effects for newly made fossil-fuel based investments from September 2025 onwards, irrespective of provisional application or the entry into force of the modernised ECT, and that it establishes a differentiated phase-out regime for existing </span><span>fossil-fuel based investments</span><span> .</span></p> <p>The article contrasts this mechanism with the alternative strategy of withdrawal from the ECT combined with the EU’s inter se agreement excluding intra-EU investor–State arbitration and the operation of the sunset clause. It argues that, while withdrawal eliminates protection for fossil fuel investments in principle, its legal effects are delayed and structurally limited by the survival clause, which continues to apply in extra-EU relations, and by the contested permissibility of inter se modifications under the ECT and the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties.</p> <p>The article concludes that neither modernisation nor withdrawal can, on their own, comprehensively neutralise fossil fuel investment protection. In particular, it highlights the need for additional inter se arrangements with non-EU ECT parties and for the reform of extra-EU bilateral investment treaties, which continue to provide parallel protection for fossil fuel investments irrespective of both modernisation of the ECT and withdrawal from the ECT. </p>

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