Non-Performing Loan Determinants during COVID-19 Pandemic (Case Study at Bank XYZ)

Abstract

Non-Performing Loans (NPL) is a financial ratio that shows the credit risk faced as a result of granting credit and investment funds on different portfolios. This study aimed to analyze the determinants of Non-Performing Loans (NPL) before and during the Covid 19 pandemic at Bank XYZ. NPL can be caused by internal or external factors from Bank XYZ. The analytical method used is the Mixed method which combines quantitative and qualitative analysis. Data analysis used multiple linear regression method using time series data for the 1st quarter of 2013- 4th quarter of 2020. The analysis method used multiple linear regression to see the influence of internal factors are total credit, Return on Equity, Loan to Deposit Ratio, Net Interest Margin, total assets, BOPO, condition dummy before after transformation and external factors are Benchmark Interest Rate, exchange rate (exchange rate), Inflation, Industry Production Index, dummy conditions before and during the Covid 19 pandemic on Bank XYZ's NPL. The estimated regressions are the overall NPL, the Small Medium Enterprise (SME) Business Segment NPL, the Small Medium Enterprise (SME) Business Segment for the wholesales business sector, and the Small Medium Enterprise (SME) Business Segment NPL for the Retailer business sector. Data processing using E-views software version 9.0. The result of this research are factors that affect the overall NPL: Dummy Transformation, Net Interest Margin, and total assets, for the NPL for the Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) segment: total assets, dummy transformation and Net Interest Margin (NIM), NPL for the Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) business sector Wholesales: BOPO NIM, Lending growth, total assets, ROE and Dummy Transformation, for the NPL segment of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) Retailer business sector: Net Interest Margin (NIM) and total assets. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on NPLs was most felt by the NPL all, SME business segment credit and the wholesales business sector. Keywords: covid-19 pandemic, NPL, NPL SME, retailer, wholesales.