Abstract

Objective: To analyze the trajectory of drowning and road traffic injury mortality among children aged 5-14 years in China from 2008 to 2019. Methods: Mortality data of unintentional injuries were from the Mortality Surveillance Data Set of National Disease Surveillance System from 2009 to 2018 and grouped by regions, urban and rural areas, genders, and age groups. The trajectory model was used to analyze the trend of drowning and road traffic injury mortality with years. Results: The mortality of drowning and road traffic injury showed a similar trend. In the trajectory model of drowning mortality, east, middle and west rural boys and western urban boys of all ages belonged to the high mortality group. The moderate mortality group included eastern urban boys and western girls aged 5-9 years and also contained eastern and middle urban boys and western urban girls aged 10-14 years. The other combinations belonged to the low mortality group. In the trajectory model of road traffic injury mortality, western urban boys, all rural boys and western rural girls aged 5-9 years, middle and western rural boys and western urban boys aged 10-14 years belonged to the high mortality group. Eastern urban girls aged 5-9 years and 10-14 years belonged to the low mortality group. The other combinations belonged to the moderate mortality group. Conclusion: There are different groups in the trajectory model of drowning and road traffic injury mortality among children in China. Identifying the trajectory of injury mortality is helpful to carry out more targeted prevention in China.

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