Abstract

The ecological stability of Mediterranean ecosystems is being threatened by climate change. One of the impacts that is expected to be aggravated is the effect of summer drought prolongation toward previous or subsequent seasons by becoming more frequent. This, along with wildfires, could trigger synergistic negative effects on ecosystem regeneration capacity. Here we assessed how extending summer drought in two different ways (to autumn, AutExcl treatment, or bringing it forward to the following spring, SprExcl treatment) would affect plant recovery after an experimental fire carried out in summer in a Mediterranean seeder community. By installing rainout shelters, we assessed differences in seedling emergence, survival and establishment in the main families (Cistaceae, Labiatae, Leguminosae), and the effect on species richness and community composition. We observed that these post-fire dry season extensions reduced the total number of established seedlings and species richness. The most impacting drought treatment was AutExcl. However, the regeneration response was variable depending on the studied family. SprExcl was also determinant for Labiate survival rates. These results suggest that drought events which prolong the usual summer season may have a permanent drought legacy effect on seeder communities as practically all the seeder species populations were established in the first post-fire year. This fact is relevant for Mediterranean ecosystems dominated by seeder species as severer and longer droughts are increasingly recorded and are expected to become more frequent in forthcoming decades.

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