Abstract
The flood in Kashmir valley has a long history and is considered as recurrent phenomena, though the flood occurred in 2014 was extremely severe due to its extent, intensity and impact on mankind. To understand the variation of this precarious climatic condition, the long-term variability of precipitation over Kashmir valley was analysed over a period of 1901–2018 on an annual, seasonal, monthly and weekly basis to investigate the pattern of precipitation and its linkage to flooding. The mean annual precipitation analysis exhibits only few (06) severe incidences (>1226mm). Sen’s slope estimation exhibited a statistically positive trend during winter season (0.458 mm year−1) as compared to rainy season (-0.661 mm year−1) at the 5% level of significance. The major deficit (> −99%) in precipitation anomaly was recorded forming the September month as anomalous. September 2014 exceptionally confronted one incidence of sudden but continuous weekly high precipitation (>130 mm) with intensity of 22.82 mm day−1 during 15 years.
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