Abstract

Leadership in Vietnam has been greatly modified by a need to regain lost legitimacy. This has meant the opening up of the political process to allow more participation and make leadership more accountable. But the Vietnamese Communist Party (VCPJ remains the only political elite in the country and the question of leadership succession must still be considered within the parameters of a one-party state. The VCP has sought to justify this on grounds of security, maintaining that political stability would be threatened by a multi-party system. Among other things, this has necessitated a tighter political control of the military. Given such a situation, what are the leadership changes expected in the short term? And how would the monolithic power structure weather the growing forces of plurality in the long term?

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