Abstract

The article analyzes the changes taking place in the investment market due to the emergence of innovative blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies, which are increasingly used as alternative investments in the management of a securities portfolio, along with traditional types of financial assets, such as money, bonds and shares. The methodological basis of the study is a dialectical approach that provides an understanding of the interdependence of technological changes and the rethinking of the role of fractional, decentralized, fluid assets with lower settlement risk, which are digital assets, in comparison with the traditional payment system in fiat currencies. The available current sample period of the cryptocurrency Index (CRIX) is too small to fully explore the investment opportunities of cryptocurrencies. In addition, the evaluation of cryptocurrencies is very different from the evaluation of traditional investment tools. There is also no clarity on the development of blockchain technology in the long term. At the same time, even today, the success of several cryptocurrencies (in particular, bitcoin) exerts competitive pressure on transaction methods from existing financial institutions [1], which determines the need for forecasting and analyzing price movements in the cryptocurrency markets. The article offers a sequence of actions for evaluating the profitability of investments on the example of bitcoin.

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