Intercomparison of gridded precipitation datasets for prospective hydrological applications in Sri Lanka

Abstract

AbstractThe aim of this study was to assess the application of gridded precipitation datasets for applications in Sri Lanka and to identify suitable products that can be used for hydrological applications in data sparse regions. Here, nine global datasets were considered for this study, and after initial screening, four datasets, such as Integrated Multi‐Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) early run calibrated, Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS), European Center for Medium range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF)—ReAnalysis (ERA5) and Indian Monsoon Data Assimilation and Reanalysis (IMDAA), were selected for detailed comparison. These data products were analysed at monthly, seasonal and annual time scale for whole Sri Lanka and also for three distinguished climate zones (wet, intermediate and dry) for the period 2001–2015. The datasets were further evaluated based on their ability to capture the extreme events, based on recent designated dry year and wet year. All four datasets represent the annual and monthly climatology of Sri Lanka well; however, discrepancies are seen at seasonal scale. CHIRPS had the best performance in the wet zone and ERA5 in dry and intermediate zones. Although all datasets distinctly identified the wet year and dry year with respect to the normal average, the interannual variability was explicitly identified by CHIRPS and ERA5. Therefore, for replicating the national and zonal climatology, both ERA5 (dry and intermediate zones) and CHIRPS (wet zone) are suitable. With the perspective of hydrological applications, both datasets can be used in development of hydrological models for applications such as flood forecasting, reservoir management and climate change impact assessment as an alternative to observed rainfall data in data scarce regions.