Abstract
Regional weather variability depends on various meteorological variables such as temperature and rainfall. The current research focuses on the variability and trends in annual aerosol optical depth (AOD), temperature (T), and rainfall (RF) in 11 Vidarbha districts. The annual trend analysis of AOD, T, and R is determined using the non-parametric Sen slope and Mann-Kendall (MK) test at a 5% significant level from 1980 to 2019. Annual T and AOD indicate a substantial increase in this study, whereas rainfall shows a non-significant trend (MK, test) over the study period. According to Sen's slope trends, the relatively high rainfall area (Chandrapur = 1.273 and Garchiroli = 4.06) got positive trends, but Gondia and Bhandara districts have negative (Sen's slope = - 2.79 and - 2.56) trends. The moderate rainfall areas are showing a less negative Sen slope (Wardha = - 0.21, Washim = - 1.13 and Yavatmal = - 2.75), whereas Nagpur districts' Sen's slope shows a positive value (Sens's slope = 0.72). The assured rainfall area districts show Sen's slope trends are positive (Akola = 0.45, Amravati = 1.17 and Buldana = 0.42). Sen's slope trend indicates rising rainfall, whereas negative trends indicate decreasing rainfall in the time series. This study has also looked at the effect of RF, AOD, and T on the last two decades' cash crop production (2000-2019) for Vidarbha districts. The relationship between rainfall departure (DRF) and cash crop yield has also been highlighted. Five cash crops, such as cotton (Ct), total cereals (TCrl), total oilseeds (TOsd), total pulses (TPS), and sugarcane (Sc), are selected for the present study.
Published Version
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