Influencing Factors Decomposition of the Carbon Emission of Industrial Energy Consumption in Nanning Downtown Based on LMDI

Abstract

According to IPCC carbon emission calculation instruction, the amount of industrial carbon emission of downtown of Nanning from 2003-2012 is evaluated. With LMDI element decomposition method, the carbon emission of industrial energy consumption in Nanning downtown is decomposed into effect of five aspects such as energy structure, energy intensity, industrial structure, economic scale and population size. It turns out that: the energy structure change can promote the increase of carbon emission. The energy consumption structure should be optimized and the proportion of high-carbon energy consumption should be reduced; The energy intensity is the leading driving factor of carbon emission. The energy efficiency should be further improved to control the increase of carbon emission to some degree; The industrial structure restrains the increase of carbon emission in a great degree. Industrial restructuring should be strengthened and low-carbon industry should be developed; The scale of economy is the main driving factor of the increase of carbon emission. The extensive way of economic growth which depends on the large input of production factors should be changed; The population has a promoting function the increase of carbon emission, while the driving effect is weak, and the growth rate of the population should be strictly controlled.