An Empirical Study on the Factors Influencing Carbon Emissions in Heilongjiang Province Based on VAR Model

Abstract

The time series data of Heilongjiang Province from 2000-2019 were selected to measure carbon emissions in Heilongjiang Province according to the IPCC calculation formula. On this basis, a vector autoregressive model between economic growth, industrial structure, energy intensity, energy structure and carbon emissions is established, and the EG test and impulse response function are used to conduct an empirical study. The results show that: there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between carbon emissions and economic scale, industrial structure, energy intensity and energy structure; the optimization of industrial structure and energy structure will suppress the increase of carbon emissions, while the growth of economic scale and energy intensity will promote the increase of carbon emissions.