Influence of Typical Regional Land Use/Landscape Pattern on Water TN of the Upper Yellow River

Abstract

This study aimed to explore the relationship between land use landscape pattern and water quality in the upstream of the Gansu water conservation, water and soil erosion, and ecological fragile areas. Based on the land use data and water quality monitoring section in 2020 in the 200 m, 500 m, 1 km, 2 km, 50 km, and 10 km riparian buffer area, the single-factor index evaluation method, random forest regression model, and BP neural network were used to quantify the response relationship between land use and landscape pattern of the upper Yellow River in Gansu province and water quality index and to carry out the basin water quality prediction based on land use landscape index data. The results showed that： ① through the single-factor index method, the major indicators of the total nitrogen （TN） in July and September, dissolved oxygen （DO）, permanganate index, ammonia nitrogen （NH4+ -N）, total phosphorus （TP）, and other surface indexes met the surface water environment class Ⅲ water quality standard. ② The random forest regression model was used to analyze the influence of land use and landscape index on TN, and the difference in TN in different typical areas was obtained. The land use types with the highest influence on the TN index in water conservation areas, soil and soil erosion areas, and ecological fragile areas were cultivated land, grassland, and construction land, respectively. ③ The BP neural network was used to predict the water quality index based on different typical areas of land use landscape index. The result of water conservation areas was good, the error rate between the predicted value and the actual value was below 10%, and the prediction accuracy was high. The study showed that water quality prediction based on land use and landscape index/water quality quantitative relationship model had a good water quality prediction effect.