Implications of a smart grid-integrated renewable distributed generation capacity expansion strategy: The case of Iraq

Abstract

The rapid growth of electricity demand in Iraq has consistently outstripped the country's electricity infrastructure, leading to frequent blackouts, especially during peak summer demand. With a heavy reliance on oil 93 % and gas 7 % for electricity generation, the nation is exposed to economic fluctuations associated with global oil prices and environmental impacts from burning fossil fuels. This study explores the implications of integrating smart grids and expanding renewable distributed generation capacity in the country's energy system. Drawing upon the projection of the energy demand by 2035 across four scenarios (Business as Usual, Sustainable Development, High Growth, and Low Carbon), the study underscores solar energy, backed by abundant solar and wind energy, as a key player in the country's renewable transition. However, challenges persist, including the need for technical expertise in renewable energy technologies, financing hurdles, and concerns about policy stability. With the country's policies targeting 25 % renewable electricity by 2030 and the establishment of significant renewable projects, there tangible momentum. The results have drawn out a roadmap for an estimated addition of up to 10 GW of renewable energy capacity by 2030 and 14 GW by 2035. In addition, strategies for distributed generation capacity expansion were highlighted, underscoring the crucial role of solar and wind energy and other renewables in the country's sustainable energy future.