Abstract

Simple SummaryCow longevity is a key driver of the beef cattle industry profitability that can be improved through genetic and genomic selection. Censored data are commonly dealt with in genetic evaluations of longevity, which can unfavorably impact the accuracy of breeding values and the rates of genetic progress. In this study, we evaluated alternative scenarios to define the best approaches for genetically evaluating longevity in North American Angus cattle in the presence of censored data.This study aimed to evaluate the impact of different proportions (i.e., 20%, 40%, 60% and 80%) of censored (CEN) or penalized (PEN) data in the prediction of breeding values (EBVs), genetic parameters, and computational efficiency for two longevity indicators (i.e., traditional and functional longevity; TL and FL, respectively). In addition, three different criteria were proposed for PEN: (1) assuming that all cows with censored records were culled one year after their last reported calving; (2) assuming that cows with censored records older than nine years were culled one year after their last reported calving, while censored (missing) records were kept for cows younger than nine years; and (3) assuming that cows with censored records older than nine years were culled one year after their last reported calving, while cows younger than nine years were culled two years after their last reported calving. All analyses were performed using random regression models based on fourth order Legendre orthogonal polynomials. The proportion of commonly selected animals and EBV correlations were calculated between the complete dataset (i.e., without censored or penalized data; COM) and all simulated proportions of CEN or PEN. The computational efficiency was evaluated based on the total computing time taken by each scenario to complete 150,000 Bayesian iterations. In summary, increasing the CEN proportion significantly (p-value < 0.05 by paired t-tests) decreased the heritability estimates for both TL and FL. When compared to CEN, PEN tended to yield heritabilities closer to COM, especially for FL. Moreover, similar heritability patterns were observed for all three penalization criteria. High proportions of commonly selected animals and EBV correlations were found between COM and CEN with 20% censored data (for both TL and FL), and COM and all levels of PEN (for FL). The proportions of commonly selected animals and EBV correlations were lower for PEN than CEN for TL, which suggests that the criteria used for PEN are not adequate for TL. Analyses using COM and CEN took longer to finish than PEN analyses. In addition, increasing the amount of censored records also tended to increase the computational time. A high proportion (>20%) of censored data has a negative impact in the genetic evaluation of longevity. The penalization criteria proposed in this study are useful for genetic evaluations of FL, but they are not recommended when analyzing TL.

Highlights

  • Angus is the most common beef cattle breed currently raised in the United States [1,2], the top beef cattle producer in the world [3]

  • We aimed to evaluate the impact of different proportions of censored data (i.e., 0%, 20%, 40%, 60%, and 80%) in the prediction of EBVs, genetic parameters, and computational efficiency for two longevity indicators proposed for North American Angus cattle [6]: (a) traditional longevity (TL; defined as the time from first calving to culling); and (b) functional longevity (FL; defined as the time period in which the cow was alive and calving after its first calving)

  • Heritabilities estimated based on the design that always included 55,000 cows with uncensored data are shown in Supplementary Figure S3

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Summary

Introduction

Angus is the most common beef cattle breed currently raised in the United States [1,2], the top beef cattle producer in the world [3]. Genetic selection for increased longevity can be challenging as this is a trait measured late in life and many cows are still alive at the time of the genetic evaluation [8], or because their culling might not be recorded or informed to the breeding program [7]. The use of censored data is commonly dealt with in the genetic evaluations of longevity In this context, Hou et al [9] showed that merely excluding phenotypes from the genetic analysis can lead to bias, especially for sires that have a high proportion of daughters with censored records. Eliminating records from cows that are still alive can contribute to reducing the accuracy of breeding values (EBVs) predicted for them and their parents, which can considerably reduce the genetic gain per unit time because older animals (which tend to have lower genetic merit compared to younger animals in a population under selection) might continue to be selected

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