Abstract

Intraoperative hypotension (IOH) is common during major surgery and is associated with a poor postoperative outcome. Hypotension Prediction Index (HPI) is an algorithm derived from machine learning that uses the arterial waveform to predict IOH. The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic ability of HPI working with non-invasive ClearSight system in predicting impending hypotension in patients undergoing major gynaecologic oncologic surgery (GOS). In this retrospective analysis hemodynamic data were downloaded from an Edwards Lifesciences HemoSphere platform and analysed. Receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed to evaluate the performance of HPI working on the ClearSight pressure waveform in predicting hypotensive events, defined as mean arterial pressure < 65 mmHg for > 1 min. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were computed at a cutpoint (the value which minimizes the difference between sensitivity and specificity). Thirty-one patients undergoing GOS were included in the analysis, 28 of which had complete data set. The HPI predicted hypotensive events with a sensitivity of 0.85 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.73–0.94] and specificity of 0.85 (95% CI 0.74–0.95) 15 min before the event [area under the curve (AUC) 0.95 (95% CI 0.89–0.99)]; with a sensitivity of 0.82 (95% CI 0.71–0.92) and specificity of 0.83 (95% CI 0.71–0.93) 10 min before the event [AUC 0.9 (95% CI 0.83–0.97)]; and with a sensitivity of 0.86 (95% CI 0.78–0.93) and specificity 0.86 (95% CI 0.77–0.94) 5 min before the event [AUC 0.93 (95% CI 0.89–0.97)]. HPI provides accurate and continuous prediction of impending IOH before its occurrence in patients undergoing GOS in general anesthesia.

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