Abstract

In this article, the outpatient volume, hospitalization income and drug demand in hospital management are taken as the research objects, and a neural network combined prediction model is established to predict the outpatient volume with the fitting prediction results of cubic polynomial regression model and grey model as the input of the network and the actual statistical outpatient volume as the output. Lasso variable selection method is used to determine the main indexes affecting the income of inpatients in hospital, and a prediction model combining grey prediction and artificial neural network is established to predict the income of inpatients in hospital. By studying the key characteristics of hospital drug demand, BP neural network, RBF neural network and GRNN generalized regression neural network are selected to predict the drug demand. By solving the quadratic programming problem and according to the weight rules, a combination forecasting model based on neural network is established to predict the drug demand, and the accuracy and stability of the model are evaluated.

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