Abstract
Today's predictions for the information superhighway are remarkably similar to predictions made about US cable television 25 years ago. In each era, supporters cast the technology as 'revolutionary', predicting that traditional methods of work, play, learning, and commerce would be transformed, that citizens would increasingly fulfil their interests without leaving home, and that technology would solve topical social problems. But US cable television did not develop as envisioned, suggesting that regulators and service providers should be sceptical of modern visions that rely too heavily on resonant themes of technology as autonomous, revolutionary and Utopian. These themes contain important errors of analysis, including confusion of technology with market demand, belief in revolutionary change, and failure to acknowledge market forces.
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