Abstract
Structural attributes, corrosion of steel rebars in reinforced concrete (RC) columns, thermal oxidative aging of inherent rubber in laminated rubber bearings (LRBs), replacement of LRBs, and the time-dependent seismic hazard level at the bridge site are well recognized as the main factors that affect the accurate assessment of the seismic performance of RC bridges implemented with LRBs. However, the probabilistic seismic demand model (PSDM) and probabilistic structural capacity model (PSCM) of deteriorated bridge components may not exhibit homoscedastic log-linearity. And the expansion of seismic fragility surfaces and seismic risk curves in the temporal dimension requires a considerable computational cost on the nonlinear analysis, which regretfully has not been well addressed in current studies. To fill in this gap, this study proposes a life-cycle based seismic fragility and risk assessment framework for LRBs supported RC bridges considering deterioration mechanisms of bridge components during their life cycles demonstrated by a three-span LRBs supported highway bridge considering multiple uncertainties such as the replacement interval for LRBs. In this framework, Gaussian process regression (GPR) is employed to effectively construct the PSDM and PSCM of deteriorated bridge components, and then the time-dependent seismic fragility surfaces of bridge components and bridge system are established. Life-cycle based seismic risk analysis is conducted to quantify the coupled time-dependent effects of deterioration and site seismic hazard on a newly built bridge during its design service life and a deteriorated bridge within its remaining service life, respectively. Results indicate that GPR can successfully capture the nonlinearity and heteroscedasticity characteristics of PSDM and PSCM, leading to a significant reduced number of nonlinear analysis cases to generate the time-dependent seismic fragility surfaces and seismic risk curves. Consequently, the proposed framework using GPR can significantly improve the accuracy and efficiency of life-cycle based seismic performance assessment when uncertainties of structural attributes, deterioration progress and seismic hazard are taken into consideration.
Published Version
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