Abstract
The Arctic is a geographical space surrounding the North Pole. It encompasses dozens of sub-national entities north of eight Arctic countries: Russia, Canada, Denmark, the United States, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, and Finland. It is 20 million square kilometers land coverage settled with only 10 million people (2015). In the desire to learn more about the Arctic overall profile in population change, we aimed at producing cross-regional dataset covering all parts of the Arctic, and using it as a baseline for the cohort- component population projection. In this way, we model the future changes in the age, sex, and educational structure of sub-national populations, the latter reflecting the regional human capital. The projections are based on three alternative scenarios, taking into account regional characteristics (“Medium development”, “Arctic Boost”, and “Arctic Dip”). The results might be informative for those interested in the future dynamics of the Arctic population from 2015 forward to 2050.
Highlights
The Arctic region covers more than 10% of the planet’s total land area but is one of the least populated places due to remoteness and rough climate
4.1 Is population going to grow in the Arctic? The results at the pan-Arctic level are informative to portrait the total level of change under three scenarios developed for the future of the region
In the course of this exercise, we followed three scenarios based on the knowledge about the past and expectations about the future of the population in the Arctic
Summary
The Arctic region covers more than 10% of the planet’s total land area but is one of the least populated places due to remoteness and rough climate. On basis of health and demographic data, we explore population dynamics dividing the Arctic into four internal regions. They consist of 25 sub-national entities: (1) North American Arctic: Alaska in the United States (US) and Canadian Yukon, Northwest Territories (NWT), and Nunavut, (2) North Atlantic Arctic: the Danish Faroe Islands and Greenland, and Iceland. In (3) Fennoscandian Arctic, Norrbotten and Vesterboten of Sweden are included as well as three regions of Norway – Nordland, Troms, and Finnmark – and three regions of Finland – Lapland, Kainuu, and North Ostrobothnia (Oulu).
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Free) 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a call
