Abstract
The main objective of the present study is to quantify the recent past and explore the near future wind power potential in the Black Sea basin, evaluating the possible changes. Furthermore, an analysis of the wind climate in the target area was also performed. The wind resources have been assessed using the wind fields provided by various databases. Thus, the wind power potential from the recent past was assessed based two different sources covering each one the 30-year period (1981–2010). The first source is the ERA-Interim atmospheric reanalysis provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), while the second source represents the hindcast wind fields simulated by a Regional Climate Model (RCM) and provided by EURO-CORDEX databases. The estimation of the near future wind power potential was made based on wind fields simulated by the same RCM under future climate projections, considering two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) and they cover also a 30-year time interval (2021–2050). Information in various reference points were analyzed in detail. Several conclusions resulted from the present work. Thus, as regards the mean wind power potential in winter season, in 51% of the locations a significant increase is projected in the near future (both scenarios). Besides providing a detailed description of the wind conditions from the recent past over the Black Sea basin considering two major sources, the novelty of the present work consists in the fact that it gives an estimation of the expected wind climate in the target area for the near future period and at the same time an evaluation of the climate change impacts on the wind speed and wind power potential.
Highlights
The global context generated by the rapid population growth and by the development of new technologies implies an increase in the energy needs
Wind Speed Analysis between the present wind climate simulated by the Regional Climate Model (RCM) model with that resulted from a widely sectiondatabases providesERA-Interim a detailed analysis of the wind at the 10 m height
From EURO-Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX), the RCA4 model respectively, against the data existent in ERA-Interim fromdatabase, EURO-CORDEX, the RCA4 model respectively, against the data existent in ERA-Interim database, a good correlation was noticed between these two datasets in the Black Sea area
Summary
The global context generated by the rapid population growth and by the development of new technologies implies an increase in the energy needs. By combining this aspect with the actual energy producing capability, which uses mainly conventional methods (natural gas, lignite, petroleum, etc.). Has a negative impact to the environment, it results that it is urgently required to find effective methods of counteraction From this perspective, the topic of energy remains an extremely important one [1]. Many policies aiming to put into practice, on medium and long-term, methods for the energy sector development were adopted. Developing and implementing energy policies is an important condition in order to achieve strategic goals, which will propagate further in the economic development
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