Dynamical behavior of fractal-fractional order monkeypox virus model

Abstract

A virus that infects both humans and animals, monkeypox is common in many West African countries and has sporadically spread to other parts of the world. There are serious public health concerns around the globe as a result of the recent spike in cases of monkeypox among both endemic and non-endemic populations. This paper proposes to use the Caputo sense of fractal fractional-order derivatives to examine the dynamics of monkeypox transmission. The study uses Schauder’s fixed point theorem to evaluate the solutions qualitatively and establish their uniqueness inside the model. The next generation matrix technique is used to compute the essential reproduction number. The stability of equilibrium points is further investigated in the research, and a sensitivity analysis of model parameters is carried out. When the basic reproduction number R0 is less than 1, the equilibrium without infections is locally stable. Also, when R0 exceeds 1, this equilibrium becomes unstable. The proposed model incorporates Ulam–Hyers stability through nonlinear functional analysis. To estimate solutions for the fractal-fractional order monkeypox model, the Lagrange’s interpolation method is utilized. In addition, numerical simulations are carried out to examine the influence of some parameters on the overall dynamics of the model. Numerical simulations are performed using MATLAB software to exemplify the model behavior in the context of the Nigerian case study. The graphical representations suggest that the fractal fractional order affects the dynamics of the monkeypox. The findings indicate that isolation of infected individuals in the human population helps to reduce disease transmission.