Development of the electrical energy sector of Ukraine in the medium-term perspective.

Abstract

The study proposes and substantiates conceptual directions for the development of the electric power sector of Ukraine in the medium term. The strategic mistakes that were made during the formation of the electric power sector of Ukraine during the Soviet Union were identified and analyzed. An analysis of changes in the structure of electricity consumption was carried out — both by consumer category and geographically. A conceptual approach to the development of UES through the decentralization of generation sources is proposed. A stochastic mathematical model was developed, with the help of which the necessary forecast volumes of the introduction of new generating capacities to ensure domestic consumption were calculated for the period up to 2028. An analysis of the choice of technological solutions for the further development of the electric power sector was carried out.