Data driven analysis of atmospheric methane concentrations as function of geographic, land cover type and season

Abstract

Over the last decade we have witnessed a rapid, so far unexplained, increase in the emission of methane to the atmosphere and this increase could lead to an acceleration of the ongoing climate changes. The increase is likely to originate from agriculture, but oil and gas production as well as wetlands are also under suspicion. The best way to quantify the emission of methane and other greenhouse gasses to our atmosphere is by using space based remote sensing. Here, we analyse 3 years of measurements of the column-averaged dry-air mole fraction of methane from the Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument on Sentinel-5P obtained with two different retrieval methods in order to evaluate the dependency on geographic, land cover type and season. The land cover types were obtained from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer aboard the Terra and Aqua satellites and from the World Cover data product using observations from the Copernicus Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 missions. The analysis reveals that while the highest methane concentrations are generally found over croplands, the lowest are generally found over shrublands, which is in agreement with expectations. It is more surprising that the analysis also reveals lower than average methane concentrations over wetlands as wetlands are generally thought to be a major source of methane emission. Until this discrepancy is resolved the methane concentration over wetlands from the Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument on Sentinel-5P should be handled with caution. It is also found that the annual methane cycle, as seen in the measured methane concentrations, for croplands, shrublands and savannas is delayed in Africa compared to Asia.