Abstract

Deep learning (DL)-based PV Power Forecasting (PVPF) emerged nowadays as a promising research direction to intelligentize energy systems. With the massive smart meter integration, DL takes advantage of the large-scale and multi-source data representations to achieve a spectacular performance and high PV forecastability potential compared to classical models. This review article taxonomically dives into the nitty-gritty of the mainstream DL-based PVPF methods while showcasing their strengths and weaknesses. Firstly, we draw connections between PVPF and DL approaches and show how this relation might cross-fertilize or extend both directions. Then, fruitful discussions are conducted based on three classes: discriminative learning, generative learning, and deep reinforcement learning. In addition, this review analyzes recent automatic architecture optimization algorithms for DL-based PVPF. Next, the notable DL technologies are thoroughly described. These technologies include federated learning, deep transfer learning, incremental learning, and big data DL. After that, DL methods are taxonomized into deterministic and probabilistic PVPF. Finally, this review concludes with some research gaps and hints about future challenges and research directions in driving the further success of DL techniques to PVPF applications. By compiling this study, we expect to help aspiring stakeholders widen their knowledge of the staggering potential of DL for PVPF.

Highlights

  • The rapid expansion of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) is driven by the vast exploitation of carbon-intensive energy sources and climate change concerns that threaten human survival and social progress [1]

  • To achieve a more complete and inclusive understanding, this review paper contributes to the existing research papers by answering the following five Research Questions (RQ): RQ1: What is the popular taxonomies for PV Power Forecasting (PVPF)?; RQ2: What are the most up-to-date Deep learning (DL) methods for PVPF?; RQ3: What are the DL methods for deterministic and probabilistic PVPF?; RQ4: How Big data and transfer learning can enhance the PVPF accuracy?; RQ5: What are the research frontiers and future research directions?

  • This paper provides a comprehensive review of the recent PVPF involving DL

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Summary

Introduction

The rapid expansion of Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) is driven by the vast exploitation of carbon-intensive energy sources and climate change concerns that threaten human survival and social progress [1]. Solar energy, Photovoltaic (PV) solar energy, has been getting the highest interest globally in the modern electricity grid, with estimates to satisfy a quarter of electricity needs by 2050 [2]. The discontinuity and time-varying behavior of PV power flow bring into question the reliability and efficiency of PV systems [4]. The sudden weather changes threaten the unit commitment and affect the demand and supply balance [5]. PV Power Forecasting (PVPF) is a crucial factor for reliable power supply as it significantly reduces the sensitivity of energy systems to weather intermittency [6]. The futuristic Smart Grid (SG) paradigm has considerably spurred the adoption of accurate PVPF techniques

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