Comparative Validity of the ALBI Grade and CTP Score in Predicting Overall Survival in Patients Receiving TACE Plus Sorafenib Therapy for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Abstract

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) significantly impacts global health, with liver function being a critical factor in patient prognosis. The ALBI grade and Child-Turcotte Pugh (CTP) score are both used to evaluate liver function in HCC patients, but their effectiveness in predicting survival outcomes varies. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate and compare the effectiveness of the ALBI grade and CTP score in predicting overall survival (OS) in HCC patients undergoing combined therapy with sorafenib and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Methods: Conducted at Jinnah Hospital Lahore and Hijaz Hospital between January 2019 and June 2023, this study included 103 HCC patients with CTP scores of 5 and 6. We analyzed the predictive values of the ALBI grade and CTP score for OS using multivariate analyses and time-dependent ROC curves. Results: Multivariate analysis indicated significant differences in OS among patients categorized by both scoring systems, with hazard ratios of 2.16 (P<0.001) for the CTP score and 1.49 (P=0.035) for the ALBI grade. Time-dependent ROC analysis showed that the ALBI grade was more effective in discriminating long-term survival. It also remained a significant predictor of OS in a larger number of patient subgroups compared to the CTP score. Conclusion: The ALBI grade demonstrates superior prognostic stratification compared to the CTP score in HCC patients treated with TACE and sorafenib who have stable liver function.