Abstract
Climate change can affect the performance of flood and coastal erosion risk management infrastructure (FCERMi) through a number of mechanisms. This review highlights that while it is well known that climate change can influence the performance of FCERMi in a number of ways, there is extremely poor quantitative understanding of the physical processes of time-dependent deterioration and the impact of changing loads (and the interactions between these) on the reliability of FCERMi. If FCERMi is to be more robust to future climate uncertainties, there is an urgent need for research to better understand these interactions in the long term. This must be coupled with an updated approach to design and management that considers changes in extreme values, storm sequencing, spatial coherence, or more subtle impacts from changes in temperature, solar radiation and combinatorial affects.
Highlights
The UK government has a vision to provide ‘an infrastructure network that is resilient to today’s natural hazards and prepared for the future changing climate...by ensuring that an asset is located, designed, built and operated with the current and future climate in mind’ (HM Government, 2011)
This review highlights that while it is well known that climate change can influence the performance of flood and coastal erosion risk management infrastructure (FCERMi) in a number of ways, there is extremely poor quantitative understanding of the physical processes of time-dependent deterioration and the impact of changing loads on the reliability of FCERMi
If FCERMi is to be more robust to future climate uncertainties, there is an urgent need for research to better understand these interactions in the long term
Summary
Sayers LLP and Fellow – Infrastructure Analytics, Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, UK. Research Fellow, Centre for Earth Systems Engineering Research, School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK. This review highlights that while it is well known that climate change can influence the performance of FCERMi in a number of ways, there is extremely poor quantitative understanding of the physical processes of time-dependent deterioration and the impact of changing loads (and the interactions between these) on the reliability of FCERMi. If FCERMi is to be more robust to future climate uncertainties, there is an urgent need for research to better understand these interactions in the long term. If FCERMi is to be more robust to future climate uncertainties, there is an urgent need for research to better understand these interactions in the long term This must be coupled with an updated approach to design and management that considers changes in extreme values, storm sequencing, spatial coherence, or more subtle impacts from changes in temperature, solar radiation and combinatorial affects
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