Abstract
Abstract The study examines the seasonality in climate and extreme weather events, and its effect on cattle production in the Guinea Savannah ecological zone of Nigeria. The study uses both quantitative and qualitative approaches. Climate data of 34 years were used to examine the trends in rainfall pattern and climate variability while household survey was used to appraise the herders’ awareness of climate variability/change impacts and adaptation strategies. Cumulative Departure Index (CDI) method was used to assess the extreme weather events while descriptive statistics and multinomial logistic (MNL) regression model were used to identify the factors that determined herders’ adaptation strategies to climate change. The results revealed a significant spatiotemporal variation in both rainfall and temperature with CDI ranging from -1.39 to 3.3 and -2.3 to 1.81 respectively. The results revealed a reduction in the amount of water available for cattle production. From survey results, 97.5% of the herders identified drought as the major extreme weather event affecting livestock productivities in the study region. In the herder’s perception, the droughts are more severe in recent years than 34 years ago. The results from MNL revealed that extreme weather events, such as drought, has a positive likelihood on migration, at a 10% level of significance, the events has led to migration of cattle herders from the northern part of the study area toward the southern part in recent years.
Highlights
The study examines the seasonality in climate and extreme weather events, and its effect on cattle production in the Guinea Savannah ecological zone of Nigeria
The present study is intended to help fill this gap. This present study aims, at assessing the major extreme weather events; it impacts on water availability for cattle production and the cattle herders’ responses to climate change in Guinea Savannah ecological zone of Nigeria
This study is based on the hypothesis that the primary impacts of climate change in Guinea Savannah of Nigeria is the incidence of prolonged drought and intervening dry spell, which affects water availability and vegetation distribution thereby affecting the availability of pasture for feeding cattle
Summary
Abstract: The study examines the seasonality in climate and extreme weather events, and its effect on cattle production in the Guinea Savannah ecological zone of Nigeria. 97.5% of the herders identified drought as the major extreme weather event affecting livestock productivities in the study region. The present study is intended to help fill this gap This present study aims, at assessing the major extreme weather events; it impacts on water availability for cattle production and the cattle herders’ responses to climate change in Guinea Savannah ecological zone of Nigeria. This study is based on the hypothesis that the primary impacts of climate change in Guinea Savannah of Nigeria is the incidence of prolonged drought and intervening dry spell, which affects water availability and vegetation distribution thereby affecting the availability of pasture for feeding cattle
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