Abstract
Climate change impact on crops production may be one of the most serious problems in the next century. In order to evaluate this problem, we estimated potential crops yield with a model based on local climatic, hydrological and soil characteristics. According to the estimation, potential crop yield of winter wheat will decrease 7.41-16.82%, while that of maize for tropical cultivation and rice will increase 4.70-8.36%, 2.71-6.79% respectively.
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