Abstract
This chapter discusses the application of the Global forest products model (GFPM) to predict the impacts of the Accelerated Tariff Liberalization (ATL) of the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) on the global forest sector, and especially the United States. The original version of this study was done in collaboration with the USDA Forest Service, in preparation for the meeting of the world trade organization in Seattle in 1999. The chapter reviews the Uruguay Round of GATT, and the ATL proposal to remove import tariffs on forest products in countries of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) organization. The ATL proposal covers all forest products, such as logs and wood products, pulp, paper, and paper products. The GFPM model was used to simulate an accelerated tariff liberalization scenario. It summarizes the effects of eliminating tariffs, from 1998 to 2010, for industrial round wood and for paper and paperboard. The chapter concludes that the ATL would have minor effects on global production, consumption, and prices but some perceptible effects on trade and prices. The welfare of consumers would rise, while that of producers would decrease.
Published Version
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