Abstract
Nowadays, in a Big Data World, Science can disclose natural hazards, assess risks, and deliver the state-of-the-art knowledge of looming disasters (in advance catastrophes) along with useful recommendations on the level of risks for decision-making in regard to engineering design, insurance, and emergency management. Science cannot remove, yet, people’s favor for illusion regarding reality, as well as political denial, ignorance, and negligence among decision-makers. The general conclusion is confirmed by application and testing against earthquake reality the innovative methodology of neodeterministic seismic hazard assessment (NDSHA). NDSHA results are based on reliable seismic evidence, pattern recognition of earthquake-prone areas, implications of the unified scaling law for earthquakes, and exhaustive scenario-based modeling of ground shaking.
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