Abstract

To develop and validate a nomogram for predicting the risk of malignancy of breast imaging reporting and data system (BI-RADS) 4A lesions to reduce unnecessary invasive examinations. From January 2017 to July 2021, 190 cases of 4A lesions included in this study were divided into training and validation sets in a ratio of 8:2. Radiomics features were extracted from sonograms by Automatic Breast Volume Scanner (ABVS) and B-ultrasound. We constructed the radiomics model and calculated the rad-scores. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were used to assess demographics and lesion elastography values (virtual touch tissue image, shear wave velocity) and to develop clinical model. A clinical radiomics model was developed using rad-score and independent clinical factors, and a nomogram was plotted. Nomogram performance was evaluated using discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. The nomogram included rad-score, age, and elastography, and showed good calibration. In the training set, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the clinical radiomics model (0.900, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.843-0.958) was superior to that of the radiomics model (0.860, 95% CI: 0.799-0.921) and clinical model (0.816, 95% CI: 0.735-0.958) (p=0.024 and 0.008, respectively). The decision curve analysis showed that the clinical radiomics model had the highest net benefit in most threshold probability ranges. ABVS and B-ultrasound-based radiomics nomograms have satisfactory performance in differentiating benign and malignant 4A lesions. This can help clinicians make an accurate diagnosis of 4A lesions and reduce unnecessary biopsy.

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