Assessing the Applicability of Mainstream Global Isoscapes for Predicting δ18O, δ2H, and d-excess in Precipitation across China

Abstract

Precipitation isoscapes have provided supporting data for numerous studies of water stable isotopes, alleviating the lack of observation data. However, the applicability of simulation data from global models to specific regional contexts remains a subject requiring further investigation, particularly concerning d-excess—an aspect often overlooked by prediction models. To bridge this gap, this study evaluates the performance of three mainstream precipitation isoscapes (OIPC3.2, RCWIP1, and RCWIP2) for the prediction of average annual δ2H, δ18O, and d-excess based on observations from the CHNIP database. The results show that while all three models can accurately reproduce δ2H and δ18O values, none are able to accurately match d-excess values. This disparity can be attributed to the absence of water-vapor source information in the models’ input variables, a key determinant influencing d-excess outcomes. Additionally, it is noteworthy that OIPC3.2 stands out as the optimal choice for δ2H and δ18O estimations, while RCWIP2 exhibits progressive enhancements over RCWIP1 in d-excess estimations. This highlights the significance of selecting highly pluralistic information variables and recognizing the impact of error propagation in such models. As a result, the advancement of isoscapes in accurately and precisely depicting precipitation isotopes, particularly d-excess, necessitates further refinement. Future avenues for improvement might involve the incorporation of water-vapor source-clustering methodologies, the selection of information-rich variables, and the autonomous construction of a dedicated d-excess simulation. This research provides valuable insights for the further refining of isoscape modeling in the future.