Abstract

The main purpose of this study was to produce landslide susceptibility maps using various ensemble-based machine learning models (i.e., the AdaBoost, LogitBoost, Multiclass Classifier, and Bagging models) for the Sacheon-myeon area of South Korea. A landslide inventory map including a total of 762 landslides was compiled based on reports and aerial photograph interpretations. The landslides were randomly separated into two datasets: 70% of landslides were selected for the model establishment and 30% were used for validation purposes. Additionally, 20 landslide condition factors divided into five categories (topographic factors, hydrological factors, soil map, geological map, and forest map) were considered in the landslide susceptibility mapping. The relationships among landslide occurrence and landslide conditioning factors were analyzed and the landslide susceptibility maps were calculated and drawn using the AdaBoost, LogitBoost, Multiclass Classifier, and Bagging models. Finally, the maps were validated using the area under the curve (AUC) method. The Multiclass Classifier method had higher prediction accuracy (85.9%) than the Bagging (AUC = 85.4%), LogitBoost (AUC = 84.8%), and AdaBoost (84.0%) methods.

Highlights

  • Landslides are a highly complex natural phenomenon that cause substantial damage to people, properties, and transportation networks [1]

  • Landslides generally occur in mountainous areas due to their steep slopes

  • Mountainous areas consisting of granite or gneiss lithology tend to have steep inclines and are the most vulnerable to landslides [2]

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Summary

Introduction

Landslides are a highly complex natural phenomenon that cause substantial damage to people, properties, and transportation networks [1]. Various methods and techniques have been proposed in recent years, such as probability models [11,12,13], artificial neural networks [14,15,16], logistic regression [17,18,19], decision trees [20,21,22], and support vector machines [23,24,25]. Such landslide models require constant evaluation to adapt to changes in landslide information and related factors. The modeling process was carried out using Weka ver. 3.7. [38]

Study Area and Materials
Landslide Conditioning Factors
33.. Methods
LogitBoost
Multiclass Classifier
Bagging
Landslide Susceptibility Map Construction

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