Abstract

Classical neural networks such as feedforward multi-layer perceptron models (MLPs) are well established as universal approximators and as such, show promise in applications such as static state estimation in power transmission systems. The dynamic nature of distributed generation (i.e. solar and wind), vehicle to grid technology (V2G) and false data injection attacks (FDIAs), may pose significant challenges to the application of classical MLPs to state estimation (SE) and state forecasting (SF) in power distribution systems. This paper investigates the application of conventional neural networks (MLPs) and deep learning based models such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and long-short term networks (LSTMs) to mitigate the aforementioned challenges in power distribution systems. The ability of MLPs to perform regression to perform power system state estimation will be investigated. MLPs are considered based upon their promise to learn complex functional mapping between datasets with many features. CNNs and LSTMs are considered based upon their promise to perform time-series forecasting by learning the correlation of the dataset being predicted. The performance of MLPS, CNNs, and LSTMs to perform state estimation and state forecasting will be presented in terms of average root-mean square error (RMSE) and training execution time. An IEEE standard 34-bus test system is used to illustrate the proposed conventional neural network and deep learning methods and their effectiveness to perform power system state estimation and power system state forecasting.

Highlights

  • In power systems an essential requirement is that of resiliency

  • This paper focuses on application of classical artificial neural networks and deep learning networks to distribution system state estimation (DSSE) and distribution system state forecasting (DSSF)

  • With increasing developments of the “smart grid”, increased utilization of phasor measurement units (PMUs) and improvements in monitoring and communications, Distribution System State Estimation (DSSE) and Distribution System State Forecasting (DSSF) interest and research has greatly increased in recent years

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Summary

Introduction

In power systems an essential requirement is that of resiliency. In general, resiliency includes the ability of a power system to withstand and recover quickly from events that may be considered low-frequency, yet high-impact events or adverse conditions.Examples of such events or adverse conditions relate to but are not limited to the following: Extreme weather, Natural disasters, Man-made outages (physical, cyber, coordinated), Lack of Observability, Topology Errors, and False Data Injection Attacks (FDIA).The authors in Soltan et al (2018) discuss the importance of ensuring robust state estimation in the presence of noisy environments and following a cyber attack to the grid.ANNs in DSSE and DSSFState estimation process provides optimal estimate of the true values of bus voltages and angles and power flows across the power system (Schweppe and Rom, 1970; Schweppe and Wildes, 1970). Resiliency includes the ability of a power system to withstand and recover quickly from events that may be considered low-frequency, yet high-impact events or adverse conditions. Examples of such events or adverse conditions relate to but are not limited to the following: Extreme weather, Natural disasters, Man-made outages (physical, cyber, coordinated), Lack of Observability, Topology Errors, and False Data Injection Attacks (FDIA). The results provide the basis or enhancement for other power system applications such as system planning, optimization, fault analysis, protection, and fault location (Fan and Liao, 2018, 2019; Fan, 2019; Fan et al, 2021)

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