Abstract
Abstract The trade effect, in this article, mainly refers to the trade impacts of member countries and non-member states. This article first summarises the empirical analysis methods of trade effects of regional economic integration and then combines the methods widely used in the current research, proposes research methods suitable for Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade effect analysis, establishes models and conducts empirical analysis and then analyses empirical evidence, by which to predict the trend of post-TPP and its future influence.
Highlights
Combined with the basic theory of the trade effect of regional economic integration, in general, there are mainly three empirical methods for the trade effect of regional economic integration
After examining the conclusion of the integration agreement, what factors affect the bilateral trade volume, or the relationship between trade volume and economic factors and non-economic factors, as well as the trade potential between countries? The second is a general equilibrium analysis method represented by global trade analysis project (GTAP) to predict the economic impact on the member states and non-member countries after the conclusion of the integration agreement, including terms of trade, GDP and welfare
Before and after the formation of the agreement, the direct impact of the integration agreement on trade, including trade share, trade dependence, competition index, market share, and so on. [3, 4] because the data and results used in the index analysis are relatively easy to obtain, so in practice, it is mainly used to analyse the degree of trade integration of a country, but it is mainly
Summary
Combined with the basic theory of the trade effect of regional economic integration, in general, there are mainly three empirical methods for the trade effect of regional economic integration. The second is a general equilibrium analysis method represented by global trade analysis project (GTAP) to predict the economic impact on the member states and non-member countries after the conclusion of the integration agreement, including terms of trade, GDP and welfare. Yanan Zhao Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences 5(2020) 61–70 used for country and comparative analyses, which requires a large amount of data support, while Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) does not have a long time from origin to large-scale development, and there are not many data samples., not suitable for the analysis here, so the TPP trade effect, in this article, the analysis mainly uses the first two empirical methods [5]
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