An attractor domain model of seasonal and inter‐annual β diversity of stream macroinvertebrate communities

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Abstract Ecological communities are dynamic systems that vary within and across years. In streams, disturbance by spates and the emergence of adult insects during the rainy summer contrast with more stable conditions in the dry winter and can potentially generate distinct and repeatable community states across years. However, demographic stochasticity and the legacies of previous spates may hamper the full attainment of characteristic community states associated with seasons. We developed an attractor domain model encapsulating these factors and hypothesised: (1) partially distinct rainy (summer) and dry (winter) communities. High benthic dynamism during the rainy period should cause higher inter‐annual variability, leading to (2) higher temporal β diversity among rainy periods than among dry periods. Historical effects (e.g., demographic stochasticity and disturbance by spates) should accumulate over the years and lead to (3) increased variation in community structures sampled further apart in time; furthermore, (4) this increase in variation should be higher among rainy than among dry communities. We used data of stream macroinvertebrates (mostly insects) in a subtropical basin in Brazil to evaluate inter‐annual variation using rank‐concordance statistics of the most common species and dissimilarity using all species. For each stream site, samples obtained in the two seasons tended to show distinct community structure using relative abundance data but were much less distinct using species composition (presence–absence). Temporal β diversity was higher among rainy than among dry seasons. The β diversity of both seasons increased with time, although this increase was 2–3 times greater during the rainy season. Our results support a model in which rainy (summer) communities are disrupted by the high dynamism caused by spates and the emergence of adult insects. The low intensity of these two factors during dry (winter) periods allows local environmental conditions to drive community structures toward a less variable, recurrent attractor state. However, the increase in β diversity with time indicates that the legacy effects of previous disturbances and demographic stochasticity preclude the full attainment of a definite stable state and that only a domain of states is approached.