Abstract

Introduction: With improvements in acute care, more patients are surviving a first-time spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). In the growing survivor population, little is known about effective secondary stroke prevention strategies or long-term causes of illness and death. This study aims to determine the cause of death in first-time ICH survivors. Methods: We performed a longitudinal analysis of prospectively collected claims data. We used data collected on all hospitalizations from California (2005-2011) and New York (2005-2014). State residents admitted with a primary diagnosis of non-traumatic ICH (ICD-9-CM code 431) who survived to discharge were included in the study. Patients were followed for a primary outcome of any readmission event resulting in death. Cause of death was defined as the primary diagnosis assigned at discharge. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to estimate the risk of in-hospital death during follow-up. Cox proportional hazards and multinomial logistic regression were used to determine factors associated with the risk and cause for death. Subgroup analyses stratified by a history of atrial fibrillation (AF) were performed. Results: Of 56,593 identified ICH survivors (mean age 69 [SD 15], 49% female), 6,931 (14%) died during a median follow-up period of 3.6 years (IQR 1.5-5.9). The one-year risk of death was 7% (95% CI 7.0-7.4) and the median time to death was 0.7 years (IQR 0.1-2.3). Patients who died were older (74 vs. 68, p<0.001) and more likely to have history of AF (24% vs. 16%, p<0.001), congestive heart disease (15% vs. 8%, p<0.001), and diabetes (32% vs. 26%, p<0.001). The leading causes of death were infection (29%), recurrent ICH (12%), cardiac causes (8%), respiratory failure (7%), and ischemic stroke (4%). Patients with AF were at an increased the risk of death from ischemic stroke (OR 2.04, 95% CI 1.56-2.68, p<0.001) and cardiac causes (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.19-1.87, p=0.002) compared to those without AF. Conclusions: The leading causes of inpatient death in ICH survivors are infection, recurrent ICH, and cardiac causes while survivors with AF are at an elevated risk for death by recurrent stroke. These findings may represent interventional targets in the effort to extend improved outcomes in ICH survivors.

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